Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000128 0.000141 0.000155 0.000170 0.000188 0.000207 0.000229
2025-12-07 0.000106 0.000125 0.000147 0.000175 0.000208 0.000248 0.000298
2025-12-14 0.000088 0.000110 0.000136 0.000171 0.000217 0.000274 0.000352
2025-12-21 0.000075 0.000097 0.000126 0.000165 0.000219 0.000290 0.000393
2025-12-28 0.000068 0.000091 0.000121 0.000166 0.000229 0.000317 0.000451
2026-01-04 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118 0.000167 0.000239 0.000344 0.000512
2026-01-11 0.000056 0.000080 0.000113 0.000165 0.000244 0.000363 0.000563
2026-01-18 0.000052 0.000076 0.000110 0.000165 0.000253 0.000390 0.000627
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000071 0.000106 0.000163 0.000256 0.000407 0.000679
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000068 0.000103 0.000162 0.000263 0.000430 0.000743
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000064 0.000099 0.000159 0.000264 0.000445 0.000793
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000060 0.000095 0.000156 0.000265 0.000458 0.000842
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000159 0.000277 0.000494 0.000942
2026-03-01 0.000035 0.000057 0.000094 0.000162 0.000291 0.000534 0.001056
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000054 0.000090 0.000159 0.000292 0.000551 0.001127
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000153 0.000287 0.000555 0.001171
2026-03-22 0.000028 0.000048 0.000084 0.000154 0.000296 0.000587 0.001280
2026-03-29 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000155 0.000305 0.000622 0.001400
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000080 0.000153 0.000307 0.000641 0.001490
2026-04-12 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000153 0.000315 0.000676 0.001620
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000076 0.000151 0.000317 0.000695 0.001715
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000151 0.000322 0.000724 0.001842
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000038 0.000072 0.000148 0.000323 0.000740 0.001935